There have been many books written about the rise of China and great powers going to War.
Harvard political scientist Graham Allison called the problem “the Thucydides Trap,” in which the country in relative decline so fears the rise of a challenger that it chooses to go to war to prevent it.
Twilight of the Titans, by Joseph M. Parent and Paul K. McDonald, use quantitative analysis of power transitions to analyze the problem.
All out war has been virtually not the focus of decisions because nuclear and other weapons ensure a high cost even for a victor.
In Wars leading up to World War 2, there was net value and gains to be made from fighting and winning wars against peer nations.
However, a dominant power that is able to cleanly defeat inferior militaries can demonstrate and signal readiness and efficiency to peer nations.
Economic strength, technological strength, military readiness and military equipment can be acquired and shown to other nations.
The competition is mostly about economic, technological strength and making your own and other nations more money.
Even if China surpasses the US GDP, which is currently at $21 trillion, there is still 60% of the World that is neither China or USA.
In China can make itself and cooperative nations wealthier with Belt and Road Infrastructure, then it can be a win-win.
China’s Belt and Road will be spending trillions to build up the infrastructure and technology of Asia and to connect Asia, Europe and Africa.
Mckinsey estimate that from 2016 through 2030, the world needs to invest about 3.8 percent of GDP, or an average of $3.3 trillion a year, in economic infrastructure just to support expected rates of growth.
Singapore completed its rise over fifty years and has per capita income that is six times higher than China’s.
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